9/12/2023 0 Comments Unexpected expectations patreon![]() ![]() We aim to expand minds, viewpoints, knowledge, understanding. Hub & Spoke, as you know, is our mighty audio collective of proudly independent podcasts. The new season of The Lonely Palette is achingly close to starting up on Wednesday, June 7, but in the meantime, this week and next we're giving our feed over to some fellow Hub & Spoke shows that might pique your eardrums. Jay Handy Financial Services (for artists!) Helen Reddy, “I Am Woman” (performed at the Mobilize for Women's Lives Rally in Washington in 1989) The Blue Dot Sessions, “Thread Indigo,” “Monder,” “Tall Journey,” “Stephi,” “Morning Glare” Instead, it has become a timeless artwork all its own: directly addressing any viewer from any era, demanding they confront their own politics, and drawing the battle lines between all the external - and internal - tensions that exist not only within the parameters of the abortion debate, but within women themselves. This flyer, though, was never meant to be a picket sign. In April 1989, Barbara Kruger - an artist, activist, and former magazine layout editor - created a flyer for a pro-choice women’s march in Washington, DC to protest the Supreme Court’s potential overturning of Roe vs. ![]()
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9/12/2023 0 Comments Google trends 2020 united states![]() ![]() It’s anonymized (no one is personally identified), categorized (determining the topic for a search query) and aggregated (grouped together). In 2013, the experiment was shown to be limited by media coverage of influenza epidemics during major outbreaks that were causing surges in Google searches unrelated to the virus propagation (Butler, 2013).Google Trends provides access to a largely unfiltered sample of actual search requests made to Google. In 2009, Google started tracking influenza epidemics based on searches for “influenza” or related symptoms (Ginsberg et al., 2009). This note is based on an OECD Working Paper ( Woloszko, 2020) as well as the Chapter 2 of the OECD Economic Outlook (OECD (2020), Issue Note 1). (2020), “A Weekly Tracker of activity based on machine learning and Google Trends”, OECD Economics Department Working Papers, No. OECD (2020), OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2020 Issue 2: Preliminary version, OECD Publishing, Paris. (2020), “ Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker”, Blavatnik School of Government, Oxford University. ![]() (2009), “Detecting Influenza Epidemics Using Search Engine Query Data”, Nature, Vol. 457/7232, 1012-1014. See the OECD Weekly Tracker of economic activityīutler, D. Latest estimates suggest a further brake on activity in those, mostly European countries, which imposed further lockdown measures in November (OECD, 2020). The performance of the model over the crisis period is particularly impressive when assessed for those few countries, including Canada and the United Kingdom, that publish monthly estimates of GDP. Predictions for the third quarter proved more accurate, with a mean absolute error of around one percentage point and no evidence of systematic bias, compared with variation in quarter-on-quarter growth of between 2% and 18% across the countries in the sample. The Tracker suggests that in a number of countries a partial recovery began towards the end of April, with impetus slowing from June. The timing of the sharp second quarter downturn in 2020 is signalled well before more conventional business cycle indicators and coincides closely with the implementation of lockdown measures (Figure 1), although the full magnitude of the negative shock is typically under‑estimated, given its unprecedented scale. It captures a sizeable share of business cycle variations, including during the global financial crisis, the euro area sovereign debt crisis as well as around the exceptional volatility associated with the current COVID-crisis. The model of GDP growth based on Google Trends performs well across 46 countries in forecast simulations. ![]() Using many variables also reduces the risk related to structural breaks in specific series, which was highlighted by the failure of the “Google Flu” experiment. ![]() The algorithm (a “neural network”) extracts relevant information from 250 Google Trends variables, that each aggregate information about searches by Google users for thousands a keywords. The relationship between Google Trends variables and GDP growth is fitted using a machine learning algorithm, drawing upon expertise in artificial intelligence developed in the OECD NAEC Innovation Lab. Signals about multiple facets of the economy can be aggregated to infer a timely picture of the macro economy. “maritime transport”, “agricultural equipment”) as well as economic sentiment (e.g. “real estate agency”, “mortgage”), business services (e.g.“venture capital”, “bankruptcy”), industrial activity (e.g. related to searches for “vehicles”, “households appliances”), labour markets (e.g.“recruitment”), housing (e.g. Data about search behaviour can be informative about consumption (e.g. What makes Google Trends a powerful tool for economic predictions is its coverage of a large number of aspects of economic activity. To the author’s knowledge, the Tracker is the first weekly GDP proxy that covers such a large array of OECD and G20 countries. The OECD Economic Outlook (OECD, 2020) as well as a recent OECD paper ( Woloszko, 2020) discuss one such indicator based on Google Trends, which are used to construct a Weekly Tracker that provides real-time estimates of GDP growth in 46 economies covering G20, OECD and OECD partner countries. Given that GDP is usually only available on a quarterly basis and that monthly survey-based indicators (such as the Purchasing Managers’ Indices) can become unreliable when changes in economic activity are abrupt and massive, the current crisis has prompted a search for alternative high‑frequency indicators of economic activity. By Nicolas Woloszko, OECD Economics DepartmentĪ pre-requisite for good macroeconomic policymaking is timely information on the current state of the economy, particularly when economic activity is changing rapidly. ![]() 9/12/2023 0 Comments Medium box braids ombre![]() They are also available in different styles, hair lace material types, colors with the special option to upload any picture reference of styles you cannot find on our website alongside an additional note section to write us your special request. Our wigs are available in all lengths, from neck length to the longest ankle length or in any custom length. ![]() Our braided wigs are easy to wear within a few seconds and stays intact with the addition of an elastic band to keep the wig intact over your natural hair as long as you do not make an effort to pull it off forcefully. 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Now, see how your favorite celebs and peers are personalizing this look on Instagram.Welcome to Express Wig Braids™. Tired of topknots and ponytails? Waist-length box braids are an elegant and versatile style with a culture-filled history. Modern iterations decorated with beads, metallic thread, or colorful highlights will turn heads, and plain chunky braids still provide low-maintenance glamour. In 2020, box braids are the perfect solution to rocking a protective style while adding plenty of length - you know, just to have a little something to throw over your shoulder.Ī simple search of “box braids” on YouTube will flood your screen with 603,00 videos of DIY tutorials and frizz-fighting maintenance, while whole Instagram accounts are dedicated to showcasing infinite variations of braids. Think Jada Pinkett (pre-Smith), Poetic Justice-era Janet Jackson, and Brandy as Moesha Mitchell. ![]() The traditional African braids rose in popularity stateside nearly three decades ago, defining an era of iconic black television, movies, and music. ![]() Celebrities and real girls alike are obsessed with an iconic ‘90s style: box braids. ![]() 9/11/2023 0 Comments Aew julia hart parents![]() Julia Hart is now an integral member of The House of Black.īring on a future where the women of AEW steal the show from the men with major performances under earned spotlights. Baker has a new accolade to lord over the division. A more aggressive, no-nonsense Julia Hart than we have seen to this point reared her head Wednesday night as she attacked Hikaru Shida before the opening bell of their Owen Hart Foundation Womens. Jade Cargill has new challengers in her way in both Athena and Kris Statlander. Rosa is the dominant champion, awaiting her next big threat. There are now too many things moving for the company to leave it at one match per night. The biggest criticism that can be leveled at AEW's treatment of the women's division was that each Dynamite or Rampage only had time to tell one or two stories. It was the most respect All Elite Wrestling has showed the division since its inception, and much of what happened set the stage for more stories to tell in the future. The female talent wrestled in four matches on the card including a sensational bout between Thunder Rosa and Serena Deeb, and Athena made her debut to boost the company's roster. It is hard to imagine he won't be a champion before long.ĪEW Double or Nothing did quite a bit for the women's division. Wardlow is officially a member of the AEW roster in every way, and he will be a force to be reckoned with. If so, he did the honors on his way out for the man he has helped build over these past few years. It is still possible this was the last time MJF competes in an AEW ring. It was possible MJF did not even show up. At AEW Double or Nothing, fans finally got what theyd been waiting months to see when Julia Hart revealed herself as the newest member of the House of Black, helping Brody King, Buddy Matthews. There was much talk about The Salt of the Earth going into the night. ![]() ![]() Wardlow needed to make an emphatic statement fueled by the rage he has held against MJF for years. He never let his former boss get in a lick of offense, just deciding how many times he wanted to powerbomb him.ĪEW rarely books matches like this, certainly not on pay-per-view, but given the build, it was the only story that made sense. However, Wardlow did not just defeat The Salt of the Earth.he squashed him. ![]() Few have been able to outmaneuver him over the years. He holds victories over CM Punk, Cody Rhodes, Darby Allin, Jungle Boy and more. MJF has defeated many of the greatest wrestlers in AEW past and present. ![]() 9/11/2023 0 Comments Epica chemical insomnia meaning![]() ![]() And after that we would go into the studio and that's it. Previously, we just did everything in our home studios and sent each other the parts. This time we did a long pre-production in the studio and we got to check out a lot of different combinations of amps and then we could record it. Previously, we used to go to the studio, tune our stuff and then we recorded an album. It's become a heavy album, yet all the details are there. We tried out several people and had them do a test mix of certain songs and he came out on top. And, of course, Jacob Hansen mixed it and he knows how to do these things. It was because we started with putting a lot of effort into the basics and we gave a lot of attention to the band part, more so than before. In an interview with LiveReviewer, Epica guitarist Isaac Delahaye stated about the making of The Quantum Enigma: "It was very much our intention to really make songs. It has a new emotion that wasn’t there before." Isaac, my mum and my husband would take turns in taking care of Vincent" explained Simons and added: "Of course, I write half the lyrics, Mark writes half the lyrics, and we have to know what we are writing about in order to get into that role, but we’ve been working together for so long so we kind of get each other’s brains, and a big change for me has been pregnancy it transformed my voice, gave it more dimension. I was breast feeding and eating at the same time. ![]() We had a very regular schedule together with Joost and it was super-efficient. I had a strong schedule of ten days, every day for a couple of hours. And singing is very physically demanding. I was still breastfeeding, so I was mentally and physically exhausted, like the walking dead pretty much. Simons went into the studio, when her son, Vincent, was only eight weeks old. The album was produced by former After Forever keyboard player Joost van den Broek, recorded at Sandlane Recording Facilities in The Netherlands and mixed by Jacob Hansen. The album produced two singles: "The Essence of Silence" (released on 17 March 2014) and "Unchain Utopia" (released on 4 April 2014).Īfter taking a break from the road due to the pregnancy of lead singer Simone Simons and the release of a new concert DVD, Retrospect the band started writing and recording of their sixth album. It is their first studio album with new bassist Rob van der Loo, who replaced Yves Huts in 2012. ![]() It was released by Nuclear Blast in Europe on, in the UK on 5 May, and in the US on 6 May. The Quantum Enigma is the sixth studio album by Dutch symphonic metal band Epica. ![]() 9/11/2023 0 Comments Snip cut hair salon![]() ![]() He said that if I wanted my haircut to be like that, I need to pay 18.80 instead of the usual 4.80. I asked him again to compare it with my photo and he started to become very rude. Yes it’s cheap but still I expect my hair to be cut. His handling was rough and within 3 minutes he said he was done. When they served me, he asked how I would like to get my hair cut I showed him a previous photo of my haircut by my usual hairstylist and he began to cut. (Most probably because of the terrible staff welfare.) Worse, they replaced all the better hairstylist with PRC men who are very rough and rude. However, to my utmost dismay she had resigned. Went to the Bishan branch near the bus interchange for a haircut, since my usual hairstylist used to work there. Hopefully, some actions will be taken in future to this handle this poor management of staff and quality of haircut! Thirdly, I believe the root causes doesn’t lie on her, after seeing so many complaints and reviews on snip avenue, there might be a very serious management issue with this company. From this, it is clear that we can clearly question her integrity too. This clearly shows that she was self boosting and was over confident of her skills which clearly isn’t the case. ![]() But she greeted me with offensive mockery Secondly, she told me not to question her profession and I did but her actions contradicts her words -the haircut was a great disaster, it was not even approaching my minimum expectation of a proper haircut it wasn’t cut up to the length I wanted, and it was frizzy and the shape of the hair cut was bad. Isn’t it funny for a customer to apologise for the staff faults? I apologise multiple times even it was not my fault. I was initially impressed by the cheap prices of the haircut but as the price speak for itself the services and profession were poor and a disaster.Firstly, I will need to highlight the poor customer service of the lady who served me and my friend when me and my friend walked in the outlet, instead of being greeted with smiles and basic respect, we were shouted at and ‘instructed’ to sit down and not waste their time. This review represents the subjective opinion of the Beauty Undercover reviewer and not of Beauty Undercover. "I have learnt that people will forget what you said, people will forget what you did but people will never forget how you made them feel" I would like end this review with a quote by Maya Angelou for the management and staff (in particular that reputation-spoiler obnoxious lady). Overall the experience that many would have had at the Snip Avenue is unforgettable for the reasons that many would know. It is very similar to unlicensed moneylenders demanding defaulters for payment, I would imagine. The highlight of it all is the manner she demands for the payment of $3.8. It's difficult to describe the very short grooming process which ends soon after it starts. If customers are lucky, she will also be the hairdresser attending to them. ![]() She is crude right from the start when she appears at the door commanding that the trace together app displays that check-in is done. The management is very fortunate to have a staff in this branch who makes sure that customers have an experience they will never forget. Let me highlight the Yishun Branch in particular. Not many service providers left in Singapore who are like Snip Avenue, really!Ĭheap is the key word to identify Snip Avenue with - particularly in the area of Service! Have you tried out Snip Avenue Bukit Batok before? Other than haircut, customers have been satisfied with their rebonding and colouring services as well! Unlike some other branches, the Bukit Batok branch seemed to have received rather positive reviews and is in fact charging slightly more – at $4.80 per haircut. ![]() In fact, prices are also slightly different depending on outlet. Quality of hair services is however dependent on outlet and hairstylist. The most recognizable hair salon chain for a less than $5 haircut in Singapore, Snip Avenue has outlets all over the island from Pasir Ris to Jurong West. ![]() 9/11/2023 0 Comments Tenorshare iphone data recovery![]() ![]() Selectable Recovery ModesĮquipped with 3 recovery modes, Tenorshare iPhone Data Recovery allows you to recover data from iPhone/iPad devices directly, through iTunes backup files, or from iCloud’s synchronized data. Now, please continue reading and master its main features. Tenorshare iPhone Data Recovery Main FeaturesĬertainly, the success of Tenorshare iPhone Data Recovery comes with reasons - all the advantages below has attributed to its powerful data recovery function. ![]() Over the years, Tenorshare iPhone Data Recovery has accumulated great reputation, and gave favor to a large amount of users to get back their lost data once again. With flexible recovery modes and lightweight design, the program will bring the outstanding but effortless experience to retrieve data from different sources, even without backups required. ![]() Oriented for iOS users, Tenorshare iPhone Data Recovery is developed to recover lost data on iOS models, including iPhone, iPad, and iPod with simple manipulation. Now, please continue reading the details. So is there a way to retrieve the loss data again when such cases actually happen? Today, this complete review will lead you to a powerful iPhone data recovery program, Tenorshare iPhone Data Recovery. When the data can be easier to access on iPhone, the potential data loss danger exists, especially when you run into the unpredictable circumstances, including the system crash, accidental deletion, iOS update, and more. Does your iPhone also store all important documents and valuable media files? Replacing backing up data on hard drive or utilizing a USB stick, modern people are more likely to save all information on mobile devices for convenient access. ![]() 9/11/2023 0 Comments Simple simon riverside california![]() ![]() ![]() Interested volunteers must fill out a waiver and signup for a volunteer shift by following this link: bttr.im… Signing up allows us to plan based on how many people will attend, and so we can alert you if we ever need to cancel. Volunteers should come prepared with closed toed shoes, clothes to get dirty in and bring plenty of water. There is free street parking available around the park, please be mindful of signs and restrictions. Produce from Corrine Jones Community Garden is harvested and donated to local community partners such as Friends of Joseph Floyd Manor Senior Center. This is a great opportunity to learn about vegetable gardening in the Lowcountry, meet fellow community members, and give back to a great cause. Wednesdays on August 2, 9, 16, 23 & 30 from 8-9:30am Join fellow community members, gardeners, and Conservancy staff for a weekly Gather & Garden session at Corrine Jones Community Garden, located in downtown Charleston near Hampton Park! The Conservancy provides all necessary tools and directions on site, no green thumb necessary. The event starts at 6:30 pm. Hed Hi Studio is located at 654 King Street, Suite D. This event is FREE and open to the public, however, attendees are encouraged to RSVP. Through a telescoping series of narratives in which no one’s actions were ever fully triumphant or utterly futile, Hurricane Jim Crow explores with nuance this painful and contradictory history and shows how environmental change, political repression, and communal traditions of resistance, survival, and care converged.” Local environmental educator and hydrologist, Rebecca Fanning, and Afrofuturist/Griot, Sara Makeba Daise, MA will also present during the event. About the book: “This narrative history of a monumental disaster and its aftermath uncovers how Black workers and politicians, white landowners and former enslavers, northern interlocutors and humanitarians all met on the flooded ground of the coast and fought to realize very different visions for the region’s future. The event is inspired by Grego’s most recently published book, Hurricane Jim Crow: How the Great Sea Island Storm of 1893 Shaped the Lowcountry South and will feature a discussion and Q&A with the author. The event, “History and Hydrology,” will be an exploration of the connections between our past, the current climate crisis and sustainable solutions for Charleston’s future. On Wednesday, August 9th, author and self-proclaimed “environmentally minded historian,” Caroline Grego, will appear alongside Charleston mayoral candidate, Mika Gadsden, at Hed Hi Studio on the peninsula. Due to limited space availability, no shows are subject to losing 100% of class cost. Cancelations must be made 72 hours before class time by emailing. Limited spaces for this fun, exclusive experience! All guests must be 21+ Please let us know of any dietary restrictions by emailing. The best part is, you'll learn how to can re-create this experience at home any time! Experience includes: Welcome Cocktail All class materials at a fully stocked and equipped bar station in our beautiful Firefly Room Learn, craft, and sip three custom cocktails Snacks! Recipe cards to recreate cocktails at home Souvenir Swag Tasting Room and Gift Shop will remain open after class for you to pick up all your favorite bottles, mixers, tools, and retail merchandise. Enjoy an evening out with friends, relax to the croon of some island tunes, and let us bring the vacation to you. From our Sea Island Rums to our spirited flavors with a tropical punch, you will be greeted with a welcome drink and learn how to make (and sip!) three tropical cocktails with an island theme. Escape to the Tropics Cocktail Making Class: You are about to embark on a spirited adventure that will transport you to a beach in the tropics with a tropical cocktail in hand. ![]() 9/11/2023 0 Comments Inside job netflix gigi![]() ![]() who is now a co-team leader at Cognito, is portrayed by Clark Duke. Rand worked for the corporation for a long time before being sacked for almost outing the Deep State.īrett Hand, a former frat boy from Washington, D.C. Randall Ridley, the father of Reagan Ridley and the former CEO and co-founder of Cognito Inc., is portrayed by Christian Slater. She was Rand Ridley’s daughter, and because of her father’s shenanigans, she didn’t have the happiest of childhoods, which likely explains why she lacks social skills.ĭon’t dismiss her just yet, though. Lizzy, who is the chief inventor of the business, thinks the world needs to be improved. She is both brilliant and socially awkward. Reagan Ridley, the best robotics engineer at Cognito Inc., is portrayed by Lizzy Caplan. Reagan and Brett’s leading roles attracted a lot of attention, strengthening their already powerful characters. On top of everything else, some characters might undergo some more development. It consists of the Robes and the masked individuals that comprise the supremely powerful Shadow Board. Towards the end of part two, Reagan Ridley, the workaholic at Cognito Inc., makes a tremendous personal advancement. The second part of Inside Job significantly expanded upon both the characters and the relationships between them, whereas the first section had to introduce its many colorful characters. ![]() However, as soon as we have more information, we will update you. We are currently unaware of the third season’s plot because it is being kept a secret. The first project under Takeuchi’s overall contract with Netflix and the first adult animated series created internally by Netflix Animation Studios was Inside Job. We would have delighted to be able to see what the characters have in store for us. Reagan and Brett deserved to have a happy ending and a future together. This includes her crazy, conspiracist father and her careless employees. Reagan encounters numerous obstacles on the route to her desired promotion, despite her optimism. Together with Brett Hand, she searches for the countless mysteries that the world conceals. ![]() The show centers on the antisocial tech prodigy Reagan Ridley and takes place in the offices of Cognito Inc., a shadow government agency. What Would Be The Plot For Inside Job Season 3? Additionally, it is anticipated that Inside Job Season 3 will be split into two parts if it happens. On January 9, Shion Takeuchi tweeted an apology for the show’s future along with a broken heart emoji. As a result, given the show’s popularity, we do think that the Inside Job Season 3 renewal may happen shortly. Regarding Inside Job, there are still many tales to be told in its world, whether they are presented in streaming or another format entirely.Ĭritics gave the show largely favorable reviews, praising the animation, voice acting, and social satire. Before gaining an official comic continuation in 2015 and a full-length original film on Netflix in 2019, the cult favorite series Invader Zim had its original cancellation in 2002. It can and does exist in other media, even if it isn’t necessarily perpetuated as a show. Inside Job will probably continue in some capacity shortly the near future. There is a slim chance that Inside Job could find a new home given that the show hasn’t even been canceled for more than a month at the time of writing. Should another network give Inside Job the revival it deserves, given the show’s original concept and appeal to streaming audiences?Įven though there are more examples of television shows being revived on streaming services than the opposite, it has certainly happened before. Inside Job is currently another Netflix-approved production that has been unsatisfied, unfulfilled, and needlessly shortened. The show was intriguing to watch because it had a real heart behind it all. The show made extensive use of the customary humor present in other adult animated shows. It was also making fun of the mysterious groups that claimed to run the planet covertly. It was creating Reagan Ridley, a super scientist, as a likable central character. Inside Job, a comedy series by Shion Takeuchi poked fun at the world of interrelated conspiracies. ![]() When Might Inside Job Season 3 Be Released?ĭespite receiving a positive response from viewers and being renewed for a second season, Netflix’s Inside Job Season 3 has sadly been canceled.What Would Be The Plot For Inside Job Season 3?. ![]() 9/11/2023 0 Comments Psychology ink blot test![]() ![]() The psychologist Pieter Drenth has come to describe the test as “pseudoscientific diagnosis,” while for the psychologist and sceptical researcher Benjamin Radford the test “should be relegated to the pile of once-promising but now-discredited psychological tests.” In the fraternity of his school Rorschach was known as Klex, “inkblot”. Many experts worry about its frequent use in criminal trials, especially considering the tendency of the test to overdiagnose mental disorders, according to critics. However, despite the standardization, many psychologists have criticized the validity of the test and the experimenter-dependent variation, in addition to its application beyond its original purpose. ![]() And contrary to the popular notion, the key to the test is not just what the subject sees in the blots in fact, this is less relevant than other aspects, such as their reactions, what they say and how they say it, or which features of the image the viewer focuses on (shape, colour or details). ![]() Currently, the test is systematic even in the positions of analyst and subject. But in the 1960s, John Exner designed a rigorous methodology to standardize the test and its results. Standardization of the test and its resultsįor decades, the Rorschach test was rarely applied methodically, with variations according to the analyst’s judgment. However, starting in 1939, it began to be adopted as what was originally called a projective personality test, a type of open psychological test that allows the analyst to investigate hidden emotions and motivations. The psychiatrist designed his test as a diagnostic method for schizophrenia. Source: Wikimediaįinally, out of hundreds of figures, Rorschach selected the ten that would be incorporated into his test, chosen for their calculated degree of ambiguity five of them in black, two in black and red and another three with various colours. Rorschach selected the ten figures of his test by their degree of ambiguity. Now as a psychiatrist, Rorschach began to show them to his patients to study their reactions. Years later, during his medical studies in Zurich and greatly influenced by the rise of psychoanalysis, he began to be interested in inkblots, which had been used before as a test of creativity. According to the biography of Damion Searls The Inkblots (Simon and Schuster, 2017), this nickname was due to Rorschach’s ability with painting. The relationship of Rorschach with the inkblots goes back to his adolescence, when in the fraternity of his school he was known as Klecks, “inkblot” in German. However, a century later the question still persists: is it scientifically sound? Nowadays, the test devised by Hermann Rorschach is perhaps the most popular psychological test in the world and has even inspired artists like Andy Warhol. Only nine months earlier, he had published his book Psychodiagnostik, which had barely attracted attention and in which he proposed a series of inkblots figures as a method of mental diagnosis. On 2 April 1922, a 37-year-old Swiss psychiatrist died on the operating table due to peritonitis. ![]() |
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